“Assuming that the investor puts down a 10 or 15% deposit and in a sense writes this off on his accounts, it is today sometimes quite easy to achieve a positive flow, i.e. one that covers the bond payments from the start,” said Rawson. “When this is not possible there have been cases where this type of parity is reached within 12 to 24 months.”
Rawson commented that he had often been told that finding the data on which to work and identify the areas giving the best returns is difficult. In practice, he said, five or six telephone calls to the agents in the area in which the investor is interested and a careful perusal of the data banks, such as Lightstone (who use Deeds Office statistics), will give a clear picture and there can be little excuse for making a bad decision.
Property holding costs in South Africa today, said Rawson, are generally in the 7 to 9% bracket, but there are many properties which will give better returns.
Rawson warned new investors that there are dangers lying in wait for the less experienced.
“Sometimes,” said Rawson, “a property will give a very high rental in relation to its holding costs. The reason for this however is not that it is in a high demand area but that the cost of the unit has fallen because demand is, in fact, very low - and there as the area is not performing. Such areas should be avoided because once a downward trend begins it tends to carry on for several years. Furthermore, in such areas it may be difficult to find tenants and if one does they are more likely to be unreliable payers.”
Sometimes, said Rawson, an already tenanted property will be put on the market with a ‘guaranteed’ rent for a specified period. Such guarantees are however fallible because they are based on the tenant’s lease. Should the tenant, as quite happens, run into financial trouble, he or she may be forced to break the ‘watertight’ agreement and if the property is in a low demand area, it may be difficult to find a new tenant.
The future success of such areas, said Rawson, will possibly be due to a steady but noticeable upsurge in tourism or to the initiation of a new industrial area (e.g. as at Saldanha Bay in the Western Cape) or by the advent of a well-priced development like the Sitari project near Somerset West which is already influencing all prices in its vicinity.